Abstract
Background
Methods
Results
Conclusion
Keywords
- •Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) admissions declined by 53% during the COVID-19 pandemic.
- •COPD admissions decrease was 36% greater than admissions for other common diagnoses.
- •Patients with fewer comorbidities and single admissions had greater admission decrease.
- •Public health measures during the pandemic led to decline in respiratory virus prevalence.
- •Decline in respiratory viruses is associated with decrease in COPD admissions.
Introduction
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Selected respiratory diseases among adults aged 18 and over, by selected characteristics: United States, 2018. National Health Interview Survey: Tables of Summary Health Statistics. Available at: https://ftp.cdc.gov/pub/Health_Statistics/NCHS/NHIS/SHS/2018_SHS_Table_A-2.pdf. Accessed September 30, 2020.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). National Center for Health Statistics. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) includes: chronic bronchitis and emphysema. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/copd.htm. Accessed October 25, 2020.
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). HCUP Fast Stats–Most Common Diagnoses for Inpatient Stays. Available at: https://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/faststats/NationalDiagnosesServlet. Accessed October 20, 2020.
Materials and Methods
Study Design and Data Sources
Outcomes
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS). Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/surveillance/nrevss/index.html. Accessed November 7, 2020.
Ascertainment of Patient Characteristics
Statistical Analysis
Results
COPD Admissions | CHF, DM, and MI Admissions | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | Pre- COVID-19 | Post- COVID-19 |
No. of admissions | 3572 | 850 | 10,123 | 4042 |
Age (years) | 55.3 ± 24.4 | 62.7 ± 16.5 | 64.4 ± 17.3 | 63.5 ± 17.8 |
Male sex, n (%) | 1546 (43) | 381 (45) | 5792 (57) | 2369 (59) |
Race/ethnicity, n (%) | ||||
White | 1848 (52) | 457 (54) | 5330 (53) | 2148 (53) |
Black | 1554 (44) | 369 (43) | 4285 (42) | 1674 (41) |
Other race | 176 (5) | 24 (3) | 508 (5) | 220 (5) |
Hispanic | 101 (3) | 19 (2) | 246 (2) | 112 (3) |
Charlson Comorbidity Index, n (%) | ||||
0-3 | 2999 (84) | 684 (81) | 5663 (56) | 2299 (57) |
4 or more | 573 (16) | 166 (19.5) | 4460 (44) | 1743 (43) |
Recurrent admissions, n (%) | 804 (23) | 209 (25) | 1996 (20) | 719 (18) |
Morbidly obese, n (%) | 368 (10) | 101 (12) | 1319 (13) | 567 (14) |
Tobacco use, n (%) | 1096 (31) | 311 (37) | 1951 (19) | 827 (21) |
Alcohol-related disorder, n (%) | 199 (6) | 59 (7) | 423 (4) | 172 (4) |
Social challenges, n (%) | 98 (3) | 41 (5) | 228 (2) | 152 (4) |
Substance-related disorder, n (%) | 277 (8) | 85 (10) | 595 (6) | 232 (6) |
Primary Outcome
Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | Difference-in-Differences | P Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Primary outcome: weekly admissions | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | |||
COPD admissions | 67.4 | 31.5 | 0.64 (0.57-0.71) | < .001 |
CHF, DM, MI admissions | 191.0 | 149.7 | ||
Secondary outcomes | ||||
Weekly in-hospital mortality | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | |||
COPD admissions | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.66 (0.20-2.13) | – |
CHF, DM, MI admissions | 3.8 | 3.1 | ||
Weekly intensive care unit admissions | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | |||
COPD admissions | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.01 (0.72-1.35) | – |
CHF, DM, MI admissions | 38.9 | 31.3 | ||
Median hospital length of stay (IQR) | Difference in median days (95% CI) | |||
COPD admissions | 2 (1-3) | 2 (1-4) | 0.00 (−0.62-0.62) | – |
CHF, DM, MI admissions | 3 (2-5) | 3 (2-5) |
COPD Category | ICD-10 Code | ICD-10-Code Description |
---|---|---|
Bronchitis | J40 | Bronchitis, not specified as acute or chronic |
J410 | Simple chronic bronchitis | |
J411 | Mucopurulent chronic bronchitis | |
J418 | Mixed simple and mucopurulent chronic bronchitis | |
J42 | Unspecified chronic bronchitis | |
Emphysema | J430 | Unilateral pulmonary emphysema [MacLeods syndrome] |
J431 | Panlobular emphysema | |
J432 | Centrilobular emphysema | |
J438 | Other emphysema | |
J439 | Emphysema, unspecified | |
COPD | J440 | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with (acute) lower respiratory infection |
J441 | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease w (acute) exacerbation | |
J449 | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, unspecified |
Comorbidity | ICD-10 Code |
---|---|
Myocardial infarction | I21, I22, I252 |
Congestive heart failure | I110, I130, I132, I255, I420, I425, I426, I427, I428, I429, I43, I50, P290 |
Diabetes Mellitus | E080, E081, E086, E088, E089, E090, E091, E096, E098, E099, E100, E101, E106, E108, E109, E110, E111, E116, E118, E119, E130, E131, E136, E138, E139, E082, E083, E084, E085, E092, E093, E094, E095, E102, E103, E104, E105, E112, E113, E114, E115, E132, E133, E134, E135 |


Secondary Outcomes
Subgroup Analyses

Discussion
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS). Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/surveillance/nrevss/index.html. Accessed November 7, 2020.
Conclusions
Additional Methods
Rationale for Control Group Criteria
Ascertainment of Patient Characteristics
Comorbidity | CCI Point | ICD-10 Code |
---|---|---|
Myocardial infarction | 1 | I21, I22, I252 |
Congestive heart failure | 1 | I110, I130, I132, I255, I420, I425, I426, I427, I428, I429, I43, I50, P290 |
Peripheral vascular disease | 1 | I70, I71, I731, I738, I739, I771, I790, I791, I798, K551, K558, K559, Z958, Z959 |
Cerebrovascular disease | 1 | G45, G46, H340, H341, H342, I60, I61, I62, I63, I64, I65, I66, I67, I68 |
Dementia | 1 | F01, F02, F03, F04, F05, F061, F068, G132, G138, G30, G310, G311, G312, G914, G94, R4181, R54 |
Chronic pulmonary disease | 1 | J40, J41, J42, J43, J44, J45, J46, J47, J60, J61, J62, J63, J64, J65, J66, J67, J684, J701, J703 |
Rheumatic disease | 1 | M05, M06, M315, M32, M33, M34, M351, M353, M360 |
Peptic ulcer disease | 1 | K25, K26, K27, K28 |
Liver disease, mild | 1 | B18, K700, K701, K702, K703, K709, K713, K714, K715, K717, K73, K74, K760, K762, K763, K764, K768, K769, Z944 |
Diabetes without chronic complications | 1 | E080, E081, E086, E088, E089, E090, E091, E096, E098, E099, E100, E101, E106, E108, E109, E110, E111, E116, E118, E119, E130, E131, E136, E138, E139 |
Renal disease, mild to moderate | 1 | I129, I130, I1310, N03, N05, N181, N182, N183, N184, N189, Z940 |
Diabetes with chronic complications | 2 | E082, E083, E084, E085, E092, E093, E094, E095, E102, E103, E104, E105, E112, E113, E114, E115, E132, E133, E134, E135 |
Hemiplegia or paraplegia | 2 | G041, G114, G800, G801, G802, G81, G82, G83 |
Any malignancy | 2 | C00, C01, C02, C03, C04, C05, C06, C07, C08, C09, C10, C11, C12, C13, C14, C15, C16, C17, C18, C19, C20, C21, C22, C23, C24, C25, C26, C27, C28, C29, C30, C31, C32, C33, C34, C37, C38, C39, C40, C41, C43, C45, C46, C47, C48, C49, C50, C51, C52, C53, C54, C55, C56, C57, C58, C60, C61, C62, C63, C76, C801, C81, C82, C83, C84, C85, C88, C90, C91, C92, C93, C94, C95, C96, C97, C98, C99 |
Liver disease, moderate to severe | 3 | I850, I864, K704, K711, K721, K729, K765, K766, K767 |
Renal disease, severe | 3 | I120, I1311, I132, N185, N186, N19, N250, Z49, Z992 |
HIV infection, no AIDS | 3 | B20 |
Metastatic solid tumor | 6 | C77, C78, C79, C800, C802 |
AIDS (in addition to HIV code) | 6 | B37, C53, B38, B45, A072, B25, G934, B00, B39, A073, C46, C81, C82, C83, C84, C85, C86, C87, C88, C89, C90, C91, C92, C93, C94, C95, C96, A31, A15, A16, A17, A18, A19, B59, Z8701, A812, A021, B58, R64 |
Comorbidity | ICD-10 Code |
---|---|
Alcohol-related disorder | F10, K70 |
Substance-related disorder | F11, F13, F14, F15, F16, F18, F19 |
Tobacco use | F17 |
Social challenges | Z55, Z56, Z57, Z59, Z60, Z62, Z63, Z64, Z65 |
Morbidly obese | E6601, Z6841, Z6842, Z6843, Z6844, Z6845 |
Additional Statistical Analysis Details
Diagnosis Category | ICD-10 Code | ICD-10-Code Description |
---|---|---|
COVID-19 | U071 | COVID-19 |
COPD vs. | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | Equivalence Test P Value |
---|---|---|
CHF + DM + MI | 0.996 (0.995 to 0.998) | <0.001 |
CHF | 0.996 (0.995 to 0.997) | <0.001 |
DM | 0.995 (0.994 to 0.996) | <0.001 |
MI | 0.997 (0.995 to 0.998) | <0.001 |
Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | Difference-in-Differences | |
---|---|---|---|
Primary outcome: weekly admissions rates | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | ||
COPD admissions | 67.4 | 43.9 | 0.86 (0.79 to 0.96) |
CHF, DM, MI admissions | 191.0 | 149.7 |
CHF control | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | Difference-in-Differences Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
COPD admissions | 67.4 | 31.5 | 0.66 (0.59 to 0.75) |
CHF admissions | 87.0 | 66.8 | Ref (1.00) |
DM control | |||
COPD admissions | 67.4 | 31.5 | 0.57 (0.51 to 0.65) |
DM admissions | 55.3 | 47.6 | Ref (1.00) |
MI control | |||
COPD admissions | 67.4 | 31.5 | 0.69 (0.60 to 0.78) |
MI admissions | 48.7 | 35.4 | Ref (1.00) |
Subgroup | COPD Admissions | CHF, DM, and MI Admissions | Difference-in-Differences-in-Differences | P Value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | Pre-COVID-19 | Post-COVID-19 | |||
Charlson Comorbidity Index | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | |||||
0-3 | 56.6 | 25.3 | 107.0 | 85.1 | 0.60 (0.49 to 0.75) | <0.001 |
4 or more | 10.8 | 6.2 | 84.2 | 64.6 | Ref (1.00) | |
Recurrent admissions | Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Only 1 admission during study period | 52.2 | 23.7 | 153.1 | 123.4 | 0.66 (0.53 to 0.81) | <0.001 |
More than 1 admission during study period | 15.2 | 8.04 | 37.7 | 26.6 | Ref (1.00) |
References
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References
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Selected respiratory diseases among adults aged 18 and over, by selected characteristics: United States, 2018. National Health Interview Survey: Tables of Summary Health Statistics. Available at: https://ftp.cdc.gov/pub/Health_Statistics/NCHS/NHIS/SHS/2018_SHS_Table_A-2.pdf. Accessed September 30, 2020.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). National Center for Health Statistics. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) includes: chronic bronchitis and emphysema. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/copd.htm. Accessed October 25, 2020.
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). HCUP Fast Stats–Most Common Diagnoses for Inpatient Stays. Available at: https://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/faststats/NationalDiagnosesServlet. Accessed October 20, 2020.
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Article info
Publication history
Footnotes
Funding: None.
Conflicts of Interest: None.
Authorship: Conception and design of the study: JYS, NNO, MS, PZ, RMR; Analysis and interpretation of the data: JYS, NNO, BK, JGW, JFS, ZZ, MS, PZ, CLB, MD, RMR; Drafting the initial draft: JYS, NNO, RMR; Reviewing and editing of the manuscript: JYS, NNO, BK, JGW, JFS, ZZ, MS, PZ, CLB, MD, RMR; Guarantors of the manuscript: RMR, JYS, NNO.