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AJM online Clinical research study| Volume 128, ISSUE 11, P1252.e1-1252.e11, November 2015

Comparative Effectiveness of Statin Therapy in Chronic Kidney Disease and Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Cohort Study

      Abstract

      Background

      Whether there is a kidney function threshold to statin effectiveness in patients with acute myocardial infarction is poorly understood. Our study sought to help fill this gap in clinical knowledge.

      Methods

      We undertook a new-user cohort study of the effectiveness of statin therapy by level of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in adults who were hospitalized for myocardial infarction between 2000 and 2008. Data came from the Cardiovascular Research Network. The primary clinical outcomes were 1-year all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalizations, with adverse outcomes of myopathy and development of diabetes mellitus. We calculated incidence rates, the number needed to treat, and used Cox proportional hazards regression with propensity score matching and adjustment to control for confounding, with testing for variation of effect by level of kidney function.

      Results

      Compared with statin non-initiators (n = 5583), statin initiators (n = 5597) had a lower propensity score-adjusted risk for death (hazard ratio 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.88) and cardiovascular hospitalizations (hazard ratio 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-1.00). We found little evidence of variation in effect by level of eGFR (P = .86 for death; P = .77 for cardiovascular hospitalization). Adverse outcomes were similar for statin initiators and statin non-initiators. The number needed to treat to prevent 1 additional death over 1 year of follow-up ranged from 15 (95% CI, 11-28) for eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 requiring statin treatment over 2 years to prevent 1 additional death, to 67 (95% CI, 49-118) for patients with eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m2.

      Conclusions

      Our findings suggest that there is potential for important public health gains by increasing the routine use of statin therapy for patients with lower levels of kidney function.

      Keywords

      Clinical Significance
      • Patients with chronic kidney disease can enjoy similar benefits from statin treatment as patients without chronic kidney disease.
      • Because cardiovascular event rates increase with decreasing kidney function, the number needed to treat is smaller (more favorable) with decreasing level of kidney function.
      • Thus there is potential for public health gains from decreasing the existing disparity in statin treatment by level of chronic kidney disease.
      Patients with chronic kidney disease are at high risk for developing cardiovascular disease.
      • Go A.S.
      • Chertow G.M.
      • Fan D.
      • McCulloch C.E.
      • Hsu C.Y.
      Chronic kidney disease and the risks of death, cardiovascular events, and hospitalization.
      Randomized trials have demonstrated the efficacy of statins in primary and secondary prevention for reducing cardiovascular disease risk in patients without chronic kidney disease.
      • Baigent C.
      • Blackwell L.
      • Emberson J.
      • et al.
      Efficacy and safety of more intensive lowering of LDL cholesterol: a meta-analysis of data from 170,000 participants in 26 randomised trials.
      Trials, however, have shown disappointing results in secondary prevention with statins in patients on renal dialysis.
      • Fellstrom B.C.
      • Jardine A.G.
      • Schmieder R.E.
      • et al.
      Rosuvastatin and cardiovascular events in patients undergoing hemodialysis.
      • Wanner C.
      • Krane V.
      • Marz W.
      • et al.
      Atorvastatin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus undergoing hemodialysis.
      Two recent meta-analyses
      • Palmer S.C.
      • Craig J.C.
      • Navaneethan S.D.
      • Tonelli M.
      • Pellegrini F.
      • Strippoli G.F.
      Benefits and harms of statin therapy for persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Upadhyay A.
      • Earley A.
      • Lamont J.L.
      • Haynes S.
      • Wanner C.
      • Balk E.M.
      Lipid-lowering therapy in persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      examined subgroups from randomized trials and found evidence of efficacy among patients with non-dialysis-requiring chronic kidney disease.
      • Palmer S.C.
      • Craig J.C.
      • Navaneethan S.D.
      • Tonelli M.
      • Pellegrini F.
      • Strippoli G.F.
      Benefits and harms of statin therapy for persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      Importantly, however, these analyses used data that were not sufficiently granular to assess statin effects by level of kidney function—particularly relevant given that more than 30% of patients presenting with an acute coronary syndrome have stage 3 chronic kidney disease or worse.
      • Freeman R.V.
      • Mehta R.H.
      • Al B.W.
      • Cooper J.V.
      • Kline-Rogers E.
      • Eagle K.A.
      Influence of concurrent renal dysfunction on outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndromes and implications of the use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors.
      One potential explanation for the lack of statin effectiveness in chronic dialysis is physiological differences in the mechanism of development of cardiovascular disease with different levels of kidney function. Calcification of coronary arteries in the general population is often characterized by vascular intimal injury within the vessel, followed by development of a lipomatous plaque that can rupture, leading to platelet aggregation, vessel occlusion, and acute myocardial infarction (MI). Although statins may be most effective in reducing vascular disease with a strong lipomatous component, vascular disease among patients with chronic kidney disease seems to arise, at least in part, from changes in regulation of mineral metabolism in the setting of damaged kidneys, which ultimately causes medial calcification.
      • Al-Aly Z.
      Vascular calcification in uremia: what is new and where are we going?.
      • Lu K.C.
      • Wu C.C.
      • Yen J.F.
      • Liu W.C.
      Vascular calcification and renal bone disorders.
      The vascular injury resulting from calcification among chronic kidney disease patients may not be as amenable to treatment with statin therapy. These issues clearly indicate that research is needed to guide evidence-based clinical decision making across the spectrum of chronic kidney disease severity.
      To fill this need, we examined the use and impact of statins for secondary prevention by level of kidney function across a broad spectrum of patients who were recently hospitalized for acute MI. We hypothesized that the effectiveness of statins would be lower with worsening kidney function.

      Methods

      Setting

      Patients were drawn from geographically and demographically diverse integrated healthcare delivery systems participating in the Cardiovascular Research Network, a consortium of investigators and health plans funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Intitute. Data for this analysis were from Cardiovascular Research Network sites with the necessary data and included 5 Kaiser Permanente regions—Northwest, Northern California, Southern California, Colorado, and Hawaii—and the Group Health Cooperative (Seattle, Wash). The institutional review boards at each site approved the study and a waiver of informed consent.

      Participants

      Patients were identified and followed using electronic data from healthcare encounters contained in each site's virtual data warehouse.
      • Hornbrook M.C.
      • Hart G.
      • Ellis J.L.
      • et al.
      Building a virtual cancer research organization.
      We defined the index event as hospitalization between January 2000 and December 2008 with a primary discharge diagnosis of MI (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] codes: 410.xx, excluding 410.x2 [follow-up care]). Previous work has shown that these codes have a positive predictive value of 95% (95% confidence interval [CI], 91-98).
      • Varas-Lorenzo C.
      • Castellsague J.
      • Stang M.R.
      • Tomas L.
      • Aguado J.
      • Perez-Gutthann S.
      Positive predictive value of ICD-9 codes 410 and 411 in the identification of cases of acute coronary syndromes in the Saskatchewan Hospital automated database.
      We excluded patients if, during the 365 days before hospital discharge from their index event, there was any inpatient or outpatient visit for MI (ICD-9-CM 410.xx), dispensing of a lipid-lowering agent (statins, bile acid sequestrants, fibrates, cholesterol absorption inhibitors, nicotinic acids), or evidence of renal dialysis. We excluded patients younger than 18 years, those with no outpatient serum creatinine measurement during the year before their index event, those who died during the 90 days following their index event, and patients without at least 12 months of continuous health system membership and pharmacy benefit before their index event.
      We first analyzed the entire eligible cohort and then took advantage of the availability of important potential confounder data on baseline body mass index (BMI) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) in a subgroup analysis. Other clinical data were not available. This subset of 2091 eligible subjects' index events occurred during the time period when their health plan used an electronic medical record system that provided access to BMI and SBP, so they were more likely to have recent events (>80% of the subcohort had an index date between 2006 and 2008).

      Study Design: Statin Exposure Ascertainment and Follow-up

      Figure 1 illustrates our new-user study design. Statin exposure was ascertained through pharmacy records. We divided patients into statin initiators and non-initiators according to whether they had a new statin dispensing during the 2 days before leaving the hospital (to capture discharge statin dispensing), or up to 90 days after their index hospitalization. Time zero for follow-up began at 90 days after discharge, and we followed patients for both 1-year and 2-year time frames, using an intent-to-treat design. We chose this window for identification of statin dispensing and start of follow-up so that all patients would be followed from a common point in their natural history, and because we wanted to compare our results with clinical trials of secondary prevention with statins. These trials typically enroll patients who are at least 3 months post-MI.
      • Sacks F.M.
      • Pfeffer M.A.
      • Moye L.A.
      • et al.
      The effect of pravastatin on coronary events after myocardial infarction in patients with average cholesterol levels. Cholesterol and Recurrent Events Trial investigators.
      • Liem A.H.
      • van Boven A.J.
      • Veeger N.J.
      • et al.
      Effect of fluvastatin on ischaemia following acute myocardial infarction: a randomized trial.
      Figure thumbnail gr1
      Figure 1Study design diagram. MI = myocardial infarction.

      Clinical Outcomes

      Outcomes included cardiovascular disease-related hospitalization (primary discharge ICD-9-CM codes 390-459) and all-cause death. Deaths were identified from the each site's vital statistics files. Our primary outcome analysis was 1 year because of concern over statin initiation among the non-initiator group with time.

      Adverse Outcomes

      We included known statin-related adverse outcomes of diabetes mellitus
      • Sattar N.
      • Preiss D.
      • Murray H.M.
      • et al.
      Statins and risk of incident diabetes: a collaborative meta-analysis of randomised statin trials.
      and myopathy.
      • Graham D.J.
      • Staffa J.A.
      • Shatin D.
      • et al.
      Incidence of hospitalized rhabdomyolysis in patients treated with lipid-lowering drugs.
      Diabetes was identified using an ICD-9-CM code-based approach modified from Nichols et al
      • Nichols G.A.
      • Desai J.
      • Elston L.J.
      • et al.
      Construction of a multisite datalink using electronic health records for the identification, surveillance, prevention, and management of diabetes mellitus: The SUPREME-DM Project.
      (1 inpatient stay or at least 2 outpatient visits coded with any of 250.x, 357.2, 366.41, 362.01-362.07). Myopathy was identified using ICD-9-CM codes that have a positive predictive value of 74%
      • Andrade S.E.
      • Graham D.J.
      • Staffa J.A.
      • et al.
      Health plan administrative databases can efficiently identify serious myopathy and rhabdomyolysis.
      (inpatient stay coded with 791.3, or inpatient stay with primary discharge code 728.89, or secondary discharge code of 728.89 along with a creatine kinase test performed within 7 days of the hospitalization, or code 584.xx along with secondary discharge code of 728.89).

      Covariates

      We measured all baseline characteristics during the year before the index date. We classified patients into groups according to their level of kidney function using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation
      • Levey A.S.
      • Stevens L.A.
      • Schmid C.H.
      • et al.
      A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate.
      to estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in mL/min per 1.73 m2. We used the serum creatinine measurement from the ambulatory setting that was closest to, and before, a patient's index date. Consonant with staging recommendations,
      • National Kidney Foundation
      K/DOQI clinical practice guidelines for chronic kidney disease: evaluation, classification, and stratification.
      we present within-group comparisons for patients with eGFR (in units of mL/min per 1.73 m2) in categories of ≥90, 60-89, 45-59, 30-44 and <30.

      Propensity Scores and Adjustment for Confounding

      To balance the groups of statin initiators and non-initiators on observed variables, thus reducing the impact of selection, we used logistic regression to estimate study site-specific propensity scores (PSs)
      • Schneeweiss S.
      • Rassen J.A.
      • Glynn R.J.
      • Avorn J.
      • Mogun H.
      • Brookhart M.A.
      High-dimensional propensity score adjustment in studies of treatment effects using health care claims data.

      Rassen JA, Doherty M, Huang W, Schneeweiss S. Pharmacoepidemiology Toolbox. Version 2.4.11. Boston: 2013. Available at: http://www.hdpharmacoepi.org. Accessed July 30, 2015.

      for the initiation of statin therapy (0.05 caliper). These PSs were also used as adjustment variables in our models. The PS we constructed for the primary analysis included the following potential confounders, selected on clinical grounds (ie, potentially associated with exposure and outcome): age, sex, race, income and education (from 2000 US Census data), selected laboratory tests and findings (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, total cholesterol, triglyceride, blood glucose, hemoglobin, glycated hemoglobin, and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio), specific medications (β-blockers, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blockers, and diuretics), diagnoses (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, heart failure, ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, atrial fibrillation/flutter, mitral and/or aortic valvular disease, peripheral arterial disease, dementia, chronic lung disease, and depression), and baseline prevalence of healthcare utilization (defined as counts of lipid-related laboratory tests; unique medications dispensed; unique cardiovascular diagnoses; total unique diagnoses; cardiovascular hospitalizations, all-cause hospitalizations, cardiology visits; emergency department visits; and ambulatory office visits). The PS constructed for the subcohort included the most recent pre-index date ambulatory BMI and SBP, as well as the variables included in the whole-cohort PS. As shown in Figure 1, PS variables were all evaluated during a 1-year baseline. We matched statin initiators to statin non-initiators using a 1:1 “greedy” matching algorithm to match statin initiators and non-initiators on the PS

      Rassen JA, Doherty M, Huang W, Schneeweiss S. Pharmacoepidemiology Toolbox. Version 2.4.11. Boston: 2013. Available at: http://www.hdpharmacoepi.org. Accessed July 30, 2015.

      ; we also undertook a 10:1 match with nearly identical results. Balance was assessed using absolute standardized differences, and as suggested by other investigators,
      • Normand S.T.
      • Landrum M.B.
      • Guadagnoli E.
      • et al.
      Validating recommendations for coronary angiography following acute myocardial infarction in the elderly: a matched analysis using propensity scores.
      • Mamdani M.
      • Sykora K.
      • Li P.
      • et al.
      Reader's guide to critical appraisal of cohort studies: 2. Assessing potential for confounding.
      we considered standardized differences of <0.1 to support the assumption of balance between the groups.
      We also constructed a site-specific “high-dimensional” propensity score (hd-PS) to help balance the groups by matching and to adjust for confounding.
      • Schneeweiss S.
      • Rassen J.A.
      • Glynn R.J.
      • Avorn J.
      • Mogun H.
      • Brookhart M.A.
      High-dimensional propensity score adjustment in studies of treatment effects using health care claims data.
      The hd-PS included all the variables listed above, plus more than 400 variables constructed from cardiovascular medication dispensings, diagnosis codes, and procedure codes. The hd-PS algorithm first screens candidate confounders by estimating unconditional associations of individual potential confounders with the exposure and then separately with the outcome. Covariates were then ranked by their confounding potential; we included the top 500.
      • Schneeweiss S.
      • Rassen J.A.
      • Glynn R.J.
      • Avorn J.
      • Mogun H.
      • Brookhart M.A.
      High-dimensional propensity score adjustment in studies of treatment effects using health care claims data.
      We had to omit lipid values measured after index hospital discharge because these values may have reflected intermediate, treated values that could bias estimates of comparative effectiveness.
      • Friedman L.M.
      • Furberg C.D.
      • DeMets D.L.
      Issues in data analysis.
      During the “transition period” (Figure 1), we collected data on important co-interventions, including use of other medications (ie, β-blockers, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blockers, and diuretics) and coronary revascularization (percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass grafting). Because these variables are likely not intermediates, we controlled for them in the analysis using stratification (by estimating a separate baseline hazard).

      Statistical Analysis

      We calculated incidence rates and 95% CIs for all outcomes by statin exposure status and level of eGFR. We also constructed Kaplan-Meier survival curves by level of kidney function and then estimated the relative hazard for each outcome using Cox proportional hazards regression models. These models included a term for statin initiation, propensity to receive statin, co-intervention adjustments, level of kidney function, and the interaction of kidney function with statin initiation, and were stratified by receipt of important co-interventions during the transition period. We used a “missing” category for variables with missing data.
      We calculated the proportion of cross-overs—non-initiators who initiated statin therapy after the start of follow-up—and conducted a separate analysis for which cross-overs were censored when they crossed over. An additional analysis included an interaction term for statin initiation with proteinuria defined by a urine dipstick being positive for protein of 1+ or greater (yes/no). We also estimated the number needed to treat (NNT) with a statin to prevent 1 outcome, by level of kidney function.
      • Altman D.G.
      • Andersen P.K.
      Calculating the number needed to treat for trials where the outcome is time to an event.

      Results

      Baseline Characteristics

      We initially identified a total of 139,636 patients hospitalized for MI between January 2000 and December 2008, and 21,942 (14,985 statin initiators; 6957 non-initiators) were included in our analysis sample (Figure 2). The most common reasons for exclusion were previous MI (23%), no serum creatinine measurement before MI (20%), and pre-existing use of lipid-lowering medication (16%).
      Figure thumbnail gr2
      Figure 2Cohort assembly. AMI = acute myocardial infarction.
      Before matching, statin initiators tended to be younger than non-initiators, have better baseline kidney function, less diabetes, and less prior inpatient health care utilization, but a higher mean low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (Table 1). Standardized differences indicated imbalance (ie, >0.1) before matching, but the PS matched sample of 5597 statin initiators and 5583 non-initiators was well-balanced.
      Table 1Baseline Characteristics of Propensity Score–Matched Statin Initiators and Statin Non-initiators
      VariableWhole Cohort1:1 Propensity Score–Matched Cohort
      Statin Initiators (n = 14,985)Statin Non-initiators (n = 6957)Standardized DifferenceStatin Initiators (n = 5597)Statin Non-initiators (n = 5583)Standardized Difference
      Age (y)
       Mean (SD)67.62(13.2)73.16(13.8)−0.4171.96(12.5)71.64(14.1)0.02
       Age <45582(3.9)241(3.5)0.02101(1.8)228(4.1)−0.14
       Age 45-542088(13.9)536(7.7)0.20475(8.5)511(9.2)−0.02
       Age 55-643558(23.7)996(14.3)0.24974(17.4)911(16.3)0.03
       Age 65-743683(24.6)1450(20.8)0.091409(25.2)1219(21.8)0.08
       Age 75-843519(23.5)2226(32.0)−0.191733(31.0)1657(29.7)0.03
       Age 85+1555(10.4)1508(21.7)−0.31905(16.2)1057(18.9)−0.07
      Female5813(38.8)3544(50.9)−0.252748(49.1)2699(48.3)0.02
      Race
       White10543(70.4)4941(71.0)−0.014085(73.0)3927(70.3)0.06
       Non-white2826(18.9)1196(17.2)0.04936(16.7)1016(18.2)−0.04
       Missing1616(10.8)820(11.8)−0.03576(10.3)640(11.2)−0.03
      Education level, % with <college degree, mean (SD)
      From 2000 census block data.
      72.5(17.1)72.9(17.2)−0.0273.1(17.1)73.2(17.2)0.00
      Median family income, $
      From 2000 census block data.
      61,31024,92059,79224,4620.0659,75325,03059,89425,077−0.01
      Estimated glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2)
       Mean (SD)70.7(21.2)63.1(23.2)0.3465.5(21.9)65.1(23.2)0.02
       >902942(19.6)926(13.3)0.17789(14.1)854.0(15.3)−0.03
       60-897425(49.6)2814(40.5)0.182525(45.1)2360.0(42.3)0.06
       45-592722(18.2)1599(23.0)−0.121208(21.6)1214.0(21.7)0.00
       30-441402(9.4)1081(15.5)−0.19759(13.6)786.0(14.1)−0.02
       <30494(3.3)537(7.7)−0.19316(5.7)369.0(6.6)−0.04
      Baseline dipstick proteinuria
      Completely missing for one site
       Negative or trace3202(21.4)1501(21.6)−0.011240(22.2)1123(20.1)0.05
       1+ and greater105(0.7)72(1.0)−0.0440(0.7)44(0.8)−0.01
       Not tested11678(77.9)5384(77.4)0.014317(77.1)4416(79.1)−0.05
      Baseline hemoglobin (g/dL)
       Mean (SD)12.81(3.1)12.04(2.9)0.2512.2(3.0)12.2(3.0)0.03
       ≥15.03342(22.3)840(12.1)0.27822(14.7)755(13.5)0.03
       14.0-14.92386(15.9)892(12.8)0.09794(14.2)760(13.6)0.02
       13.0-13.92152(14.4)1095(15.7)−0.04949(17.0)875(15.7)0.03
       11.0-12.92138(14.3)1652(23.8)−0.241148(20.5)1232(22.1)−0.04
       <112758(18.6)1761(25.3)−0.161325(23.7)1317(23.6)0.00
       Not tested2182(14.6)717(10.3)0.13559(10.0)644(11.5)−0.05
      HDL cholesterol (g/dL)
       Mean (SD)43.02453(18.7)44.04(21.3)−0.0543.2(20.2)43.57(21.3)−0.02
       ≥601482(9.9)691.00(9.9)0.00535(9.6)554(9.9)−0.01
       <608038(53.6)2743.00(39.4)0.292396(42.8)2400(43.0)0.00
       Not tested5465(36.5)3523.00(50.6)−0.292666(47.6)2629(47.1)0.01
      LDL cholesterol (g/dL)
       Mean (SD)132.07(35.0)114.28(36.2)0.50118.9(35.7)117.87(35.8)0.03
       ≥200293(2.0)60(0.9)0.0968(1.2)57.00(1.0)0.02
       160-199.91516(10.1)262(3.8)0.25256(4.6)252.00(4.5)0.00
       130-159.92819(18.8)620(8.9)0.29591(10.6)597.00(10.7)0.00
       100-129.92753(18.4)1062(15.3)0.08942(16.8)960.00(17.2)−0.01
       70-99.91303(8.7)873(12.6)−0.13672(12.0)678.00(12.1)0.00
       <70250(1.7)275(4.0)−0.14174(3.1)178.00(3.2)0.00
       Not tested6051(40.4)3805(54.7)−0.292894(51.7)2861.00(51.2)0.01
      Total cholesterol (g/dL)
       Mean (SD)214.63(42.4)196.13(44.1)0.43201.9(43.5)199.81(43.5)0.05
       ≥2402409(16.1)496(7.1)0.28489(8.7)469(8.4)0.01
       200-2393664(24.5)1030(14.8)0.24930(16.6)941(16.9)−0.01
       <2003519(23.5)2012(28.9)−0.121567(28.0)1591(28.5)−0.01
       Not tested5393(36.0)3419(49.1)−0.272611(46.7)2582(46.3)0.01
      Triglycerides (mg/dL)
       Mean (SD)179.67(132.0)169.26(132.8)0.08173.3(133.0)171.30(135.8)0.01
       ≥1504049(27.0)1237(17.8)0.221154(20.6)1093(19.6)0.03
       <1504108(27.4)1614(23.2)0.101305(23.5)1369(24.5)−0.02
       Not tested6828(45.6)4106(59.0)−0.273138(56.1)3121(55.9)0.00
      Glucose, n (% tested)10199(68.1)4530(65.1)0.063504(62.6)3526(63.2)−0.01
      Glycated hemoglobin, n (% tested)4105(27.4)2208(31.7)−0.101760(31.5)1742(31.2)0.01
      Albumin/creatinine ratio, n (% tested)1033(6.9)479(6.9)0.00383(6.8)380(6.8)0.00
      Medication use
       Renin-angiotensin system inhibitor use5217(34.8)2886(41.5)−0.142222(39.7)2201(39.4)0.01
       β-Blocker use4612(30.8)2438(35.0)−0.091942(34.7)1902(34.1)0.01
       Calcium channel blocker use2951(19.7)1705(24.5)−0.121350(24.1)1304(23.4)0.02
       Diuretic use5730(38.2)3564(51.2)−0.262615(46.7)2613(46.8)0.00
      Medical history
       Heart failure1072(7.2)1568(22.5)−0.44875(15.6)880(15.8)0.00
       Coronary artery bypass surgery21(0.1)27(0.4)−0.0514(0.3)15(0.3)0.00
       Percutaneous coronary intervention35(0.2)37(0.5)−0.0523(0.4)28(0.5)−0.01
       Ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack145(1.0)163(2.3)−0.1189(1.6)100(1.8)−0.02
       Cerebrovascular disease595(4.0)667(9.6)−0.22391(7.0)416(7.5)−0.02
       Atrial fibrillation or flutter559(3.7)703(10.1)−0.25399(7.1)397(7.1)0.00
       Mitral and/or aortic valvular disease262(1.7)309(4.4)−0.16186(3.3)184(3.6)−0.02
       Peripheral arterial disease268(1.8)260(3.7)−0.12165(3.0)173(3.1)−0.01
       Diagnosed dyslipidemia2431(16.2)885(12.7)0.10747(13.4)744(13.3)0.00
       Hypertension8026(53.6)4067(58.5)−0.103218(57.5)3170(56.8)0.01
       Diabetes mellitus2238(14.9)1471(21.1)−0.161093(19.5)1073(19.2)0.01
       Diagnosed dementia561(3.7)608(8.7)−0.21370(6.6)371(6.7)0.00
       Diagnosed depression627(4.2)411(5.9)−0.08296(5.3)304(5.5)−0.01
       Chronic lung disease2189(14.6)1443(20.7)−0.161080(19.3)1038(18.6)0.02
       Chronic liver disease187(1.2)178(2.6)−0.1059(1.1)145(2.6)−0.12
       Mechanical fall66(0.4)92(1.3)−0.0946(0.8)58(1.0)−0.02
      Medical care utilization, mean (SD)
       Count of lipid tests2.09(2.2)1.81(2.5)0.121.89(2.4)1.91(2.4)−0.01
       Count of unique ICD-9 diagnosis161.52(119.5)196.00(157.1)−0.25185.29(133.9)185.03(138.1)0.00
       Count of cardiovascular hospitalization days0.75(3.1)2.20(6.0)−0.301.42(4.4)1.71(5.3)−0.06
       Count of inpatient stays0.32(0.9)0.77(1.5)−0.360.57(1.2)0.63(1.4)−0.05
       Count of emergency department visits0.63(1.4)1.25(2.4)−0.311.00(1.8)1.04(2.1)−0.02
       Count of cardiology outpatient visits0.43(1.2)0.79(2.0)−0.220.63(1.5)0.68(1.9)−0.03
      Values are number (percentage) unless otherwise noted.
      From 2000 census block data.
      Completely missing for one site

      Clinical Outcomes

      We found that the rate of clinical outcomes increased with lower kidney function at both 1 and 2 years; within any given level of kidney function, the rate was always lower for statin initiators. For example, among patients with eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m2, the 1-year death rate for statin initiators was 5.1 per 100 person-years, compared with 7.7 per 100 person-years for non-initiators. For patients with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, the death rate was 367.2 per 100 person-years for statin initiators, and 49.5 per 100 person-years for non-initiators. The differential with cardiovascular hospitalization was less stark: among patients with an eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, the rate over 1 year for statin initiators was 33.9 per 100 person-years, compared with 35.6 per 100 person-years for statin non-initiators.
      The hazard ratio (HR) for death at 1 year for statin initiation compared with non-initiation was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.71-0.88) and 0.9 (95% CI, 0.82-1.00) for cardiovascular hospitalization (Table 2). The P value for the interaction term between eGFR and statin initiation was not significant for death or for cardiovascular hospitalization. Because our main research question involves whether statin effects vary by level of renal function, we also report the estimated effect HR for statin initiation vs non-initiation by eGFR category. Those HRs show no clinically important variation across level of eGFR for death or cardiovascular hospitalization (Figure 3).
      Figure thumbnail gr3
      Figure 3Hazard ratio for death and cardiovascular hospitalization, by level of renal function. eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate.

      Adverse Outcomes

      We found few diagnosed myopathy events in the MI matched cohort (54 among statin initiators and 66 among statin non-initiators). Diabetes incidence was similar between initiators and non-initiators, within level of kidney function (Table 3).
      Table 2Clinical Outcomes Over 1 Year: Analysis of Secondary Prevention After Myocardial Infarction for Statin Initiators Compared with Statin Non-initiators
      VariableStatin Initators (n = 5597)Statin Non-Initiators (n = 5583)PS Matched and Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)
      EventsEvents per 100 Person-YearsEventsEvents per 100 Person-Years
      Death61411.9390418.470.79 (0.71-0.88)
      P value for interaction of statin initiation by level of kidney function.86
      CV hospitalization80516.8485018.740.90 (0.82-1.00)
      P value for interaction of statin initiation by level of kidney function.77
      Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated from Cox proportional hazards regression.
      Table 3Adverse Outcomes Over 1 Year: Statin Initiators Compared with Statin Non-initiators, Overall and by Level of Kidney Function
      VariableStatin Initators (n = 5597; 4504 Without Diabetes at Baseline)Statin Non-Initiators (n = 5583; 4510 Without Diabetes at Baseline)Propensity Score–Matched and Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)
      EventsEvents per 100 Person-YearsEventsEvents per 100 Person-Years
      Diabetes
      Among patients without diabetes at baseline.
      44711.5240010.710.97 (0.84-1.12)
      P value for interaction of statin initiation by level of kidney function.58
      Myopathy541.34661.040.82 (0.57-1.20)
      P value for interaction of statin initiation by level of kidney function.98
      Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from Cox proportional hazards regression.
      Among patients without diabetes at baseline.
      The HR for myopathy at 1 year (0.82; 95% CI, 0.57-1.20) and diabetes development (0.97; 95% CI, 0.84-1.12) showed the risk for both outcomes was similar between statin initiators and non-initiators; the risk did not vary by level of kidney function.
      Our results were robust with respect to variations in kidney function: patients without dipstick proteinuria (negative or trace) had an HR for death at 1 year of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.68-1.06) for statin initiators compared with non-initiators, and patients with positive dipstick proteinuria (1+ or greater) had an HR of 0.55 (95% CI, 0.20-1.56).
      The use of the hd-PS adjustment yielded nearly identical findings (HR for death 0.81 [95% CI, 0.72-0.91], HR for cardiovascular hospitalization 0.88 [95% CI, 0.78, 0.98]), as did the analysis in the subcohort that additionally adjusted for BMI and blood pressure. Censoring at statin cross-over yielded results similar to the primary analysis, and our 2-year results also closely mirrored the 1-year findings for all analyses and outcomes.
      Our NNT estimates (Table 4) suggest that 31 patients in our sample would need statin therapy to prevent 1 death and that 65 patients in our sample would prevent 1 cardiovascular hospitalization. However, because the rate of death and cardiovascular hospitalization was greater with worsening kidney function, the NNT was much more favorable at lower levels of eGFR.
      Table 4Survival Probability, and Numbers Needed to Treat at 1 Year to Prevent 1 Outcome
      OutcomeSurvival Probability at 1 year (Non-Initiators)Number Needed to Treat to Benefit (95% CI)
      Death
       Overall0.8331 (22-55)
       eGFR >900.9367 (49-118)
       eGFR 60-890.8740 (29-70)
       eGFR 45-590.8228 (20-50)
       eGFR 30-440.7421 (15-37)
       eGFR <300.6315 (11-28)
      Cardiovascular hospitalization
       Overall0.8365
       eGFR >900.91114
       eGFR 60-890.8571
       eGFR 45-590.8260
       eGFR 30-440.7850
       eGFR <300.7241
      The risk difference for cardiovascular hospitalization was not statistically significant, therefore we cannot calculate a 95% confidence interval (CI) on number needed to treat to benefit for cardiovascular hospitalization.
      eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate.

      Discussion

      Our findings suggest that patients with mild to moderate chronic kidney disease enjoy the same relative cardioprotective and mortality reduction benefits of statin use as do patients with preserved eGFR. These findings are consonant with recent reports from systematic reviews of clinical trial subgroups.
      • Palmer S.C.
      • Craig J.C.
      • Navaneethan S.D.
      • Tonelli M.
      • Pellegrini F.
      • Strippoli G.F.
      Benefits and harms of statin therapy for persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      • Upadhyay A.
      • Earley A.
      • Lamont J.L.
      • Haynes S.
      • Wanner C.
      • Balk E.M.
      Lipid-lowering therapy in persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      However, our study also confirms that the absolute rate of death and cardiovascular hospitalization varies by level of kidney function, so the constant relative risk reduction from statin therapy translates into a greater absolute risk reduction with worsening kidney function.
      The variable benefit—on the absolute scale—of statin therapy by level of kidney function may be especially important because patients with kidney dysfunction are known to have a lower probability of being treated with cardioprotective therapy, including statins.
      • Keough-Ryan T.M.
      • Kiberd B.A.
      • Dipchand C.S.
      • et al.
      Outcomes of acute coronary syndrome in a large Canadian cohort: impact of chronic renal insufficiency, cardiac interventions, and anemia.
      Evidence suggests that this treatment disparity has attenuated,
      • Cardinal H.
      • Bogaty P.
      • Madore F.
      • Boyer L.
      • Joseph L.
      • Brophy J.M.
      Therapeutic management in patients with renal failure who experience an acute coronary syndrome.
      so we examined data from the last year of our study (2008) and found that 71% of our patients with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 initiated statin therapy within the 90 days following an MI, compared with 90% of patients with eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m2. Thus, although relative statin treatment effects may not differ by level of renal function, poor outcome rates and treatment rates do differ by level of renal function, suggesting that attention could be focused usefully on increasing treatment rates among patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease. Substantial public health gains might be made by eliminating this “treatment-risk paradox.”
      • Ko D.
      • Mamdani M.
      • Alter D.
      Lipid-lowering therapy with statins in high-risk elderly patients: the treatment-risk paradox.
      Our findings were similar in magnitude and direction to recent meta-analyses by Palmer et al
      • Palmer S.C.
      • Craig J.C.
      • Navaneethan S.D.
      • Tonelli M.
      • Pellegrini F.
      • Strippoli G.F.
      Benefits and harms of statin therapy for persons with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      of subgroups from clinical trials in patients with chronic kidney disease. For example, statins were estimated to reduce all-cause mortality (relative risk 0.81; 95% CI, 0.74-0.88) and cardiovascular events (relative risk 0.76; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80). Although informative, those studies had to combine all predialysis chronic kidney disease patients together, regardless of disease stage, leaving the residual question of whether there is a renal function threshold below which statins are not effective. This is an important limitation of those meta-analyses because the physiologic disruption of mineral metabolism thought to cause the medial calcification in chronic kidney disease may increase with worsening stage of kidney disease. Our study lends reassurance to treatment decisions because of findings of consistent relative effects across the spectrum of predialysis chronic kidney disease.
      The Study of Heart and Renal Protection (SHARP) was conducted among patients with stage 3 chronic kidney disease or worse, and the investigators showed that compared with placebo, simvastatin plus ezetimibe was effective at reducing low-density lipoprotein cholesterol
      • Baigent C.
      • Landray M.J.
      • Reith C.
      • et al.
      The effects of lowering LDL cholesterol with simvastatin plus ezetimibe in patients with chronic kidney disease (Study of Heart and Renal Protection): a randomised placebo-controlled trial.
      and have reported benefits of preventing major atherosclerotic events (the combination of MI, coronary death, ischemic stroke, or revascularization), but the findings were not significant for mortality. Although important, SHARP did not include patients with known atherosclerotic disease, and it tested a combination of ezetimibe and simvastatin. Our study expands on SHARP by examining the use and impact of statins for secondary cardiovascular event prevention across a broad spectrum of chronic kidney disease patients, and by stratifying more finely by level of eGFR.
      Several observational studies have reported on the effectiveness of secondary prevention with statin treatment in patients with chronic kidney disease, but these reports have important limitations, including small samples resulting in aggregation across stage of chronic kidney disease,
      • Kaneko H.
      • Yajima J.
      • Oikawa Y.
      • et al.
      Effects of statin treatment in patients with coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease.
      or lack of information about baseline medication use,
      • Natsuaki M.
      • Furukawa Y.
      • Morimoto T.
      • Sakata R.
      • Kimura T.
      Renal function and effect of statin therapy on cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing coronary revascularization (from the CREDO-Kyoto PCI/CABG Registry Cohort-2).
      resulting in prevalent user bias.
      • Ray W.A.
      Evaluating medication effects outside of clinical trials: new-user designs.
      We did not observe a significantly higher risk of potential statin-related adverse effects of myopathy and development of diabetes, although we had limited precision in our estimates at lower levels of eGFR, and follow-up was limited to 2 years. However, our findings are similar to recent meta-analyses regarding the safety of statins in clinical trial participants.
      An inherent observational study limitation is potential for residual confounding and selection bias. Of particular note is the “healthy user bias” that has been observed in statin studies.
      • Dormuth C.R.
      • Patrick A.R.
      • Shrank W.H.
      • et al.
      Statin adherence and risk of accidents: a cautionary tale.
      We attempted to mitigate this through use of PS methods, including using a “high-dimensional” PS. However, residual confounding may still exist, for example, because statin initiators had a lower comorbidity load than non-initiators. Our study may be particularly susceptible to this bias because we lacked an active control.
      • Setoguchi S.
      • Gerhard T.
      Comparator selection.
      Our study focused on secondary prevention patients and only included statin initiators who started therapy after their MI. These design decisions strengthened our study but lead to information most generalizable to the subset of patients with chronic kidney disease who were not taking statin therapy before being hospitalized for MI.
      We found that initiation of statin therapy after MI was associated with similar relative reductions in death and cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in patients across the range of eGFR. However, given the higher absolute rates of these events with worse kidney function, and their lower propensity to be prescribed a statin, our study suggests potential for public health gains by decreasing the gap in statin treatment among patients with chronic kidney disease.

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      Linked Article

      • Effect of Different Statin Intensity in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients
        The American Journal of MedicineVol. 129Issue 2
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          We read with interest an article written by Smith et al.1 The authors performed a comparative effectiveness analysis of statin therapy by different levels of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). They found relatively similar reduction in deaths and cardiovascular disease hospitalization across the range of eGFR, with higher rates in patients with lower eGFR. The authors suggested starting statin treatment in patients with lower levels of kidney function. However, the authors did not discuss potential effects of different doses and types of statins on outcome in chronic kidney disease patients.
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