Abstract
Background
Methods
Results
Conclusions
Keywords
- •In a large observational study, we found that some individuals with stable coronary artery disease do not derive appreciable benefit from aspirin.
- •Among those with no prior ischemic event, aspirin use was not associated with a reduction in adverse cardiovascular events, but was associated with an increase in strokes.
- •Among those with prior ischemic events, aspirin was associated with a reduction in adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.
- Smith Jr., S.C.
- Benjamin E.J.
- Bonow R.O.
- et al.
- Fihn S.D.
- Gardin J.M.
- Abrams J.
- et al.
- Smith Jr., S.C.
- Benjamin E.J.
- Bonow R.O.
- et al.
- Fihn S.D.
- Gardin J.M.
- Abrams J.
- et al.
Methods
Study Cohort
Exposure/Outcomes
Statistical Methods
Results

Characteristic | No Prior Ischemic Event (n = 13,091) | P Value | Prior Ischemic Event (n = 9485) | P Value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aspirin at Baseline (n = 5923) | No Aspirin at Baseline (n = 7168) | Aspirin at Baseline (n = 6872) | No Aspirin at Baseline (n = 2613) | |||
Age, years, mean (SD) | 66.1 (9.5) | 64.7 (10.0) | <.0001 | 66.9 (9.4) | 67.4 (10.1) | .044 |
Women, % | 51.4 | 66.8 | <.0001 | 37.8 | 51.2 | <.0001 |
Black race, % | 11.5 | 14.9 | <.0001 | 10.8 | 20.5 | <.0001 |
BMI, kg/m2, mean (SD) | 29.3 (7.2) | 29.5 (5.8) | .25 | 28.8 (8.5) | 29.0 (6.1) | .39 |
SBP, mm Hg, mean (SD) | 151.3 (19.4) | 150.9 (19.3) | .25 | 150.4 (19.5) | 151.0 (20.5) | .24 |
History of, % | ||||||
Myocardial infarction | 0 | 0 | 76.7 | 74.5 | .025 | |
Stroke/transient ischemic attack | 0 | 0 | 17.0 | 17.7 | .42 | |
Classic angina pectoris | 66.2 | 89.6 | <.0001 | 48.1 | 53.4 | <.0001 |
Coronary revascularization | 30.3 | 5.2 | <.0001 | 49.3 | 23.3 | <.0001 |
Congestive heart failure | 4.6 | 3.0 | <.0001 | 7.8 | 8.9 | .099 |
Smoking | 47.5 | 32.2 | <.0001 | 60.0 | 46.2 | <.0001 |
Diabetes mellitus | 28.1 | 25.7 | .0018 | 31.1 | 29.0 | .053 |
Hyperlipidemia | 62.8 | 38.6 | <.0001 | 69.4 | 51.2 | <.0001 |
Peripheral arterial disease | 13.0 | 9.3 | <.0001 | 14.1 | 11.1 | .00016 |
Chronic kidney disease | 1.8 | 0.7 | <.0001 | 2.9 | 2.5 | .31 |
Medications, % | ||||||
NSAID | 20.1 | 20.5 | .55 | 13.4 | 16.3 | .0003 |
Lipid-lowering agent | 43.3 | 18.2 | <.0001 | 53.2 | 29.4 | <.0001 |
Nitrate | 40.7 | 26.3 | <.0001 | 44.4 | 29.9 | <.0001 |
Ischemic Subgroup | Aspirin Status at Baseline | No Aspirin at Any Follow-up Visit | Infrequent Aspirin: >0 to <50% Visits | Frequent Aspirin: ≥50% to <100% Visits | Aspirin At Each Follow-up Visit | Aspirin: ≥1 Visit |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No prior ischemic event (n = 13,091) | Aspirin (n = 5923) | 310 (5.5%) | 434 (7.7%) | 1547 (27.4%) | 3355 (59.4%) | 5336 (90.1%) |
No aspirin (n = 7168) | 4332 (63.5%) | 1209 (17.7%) | 834 (12.2%) | 444 (6.5%) | 2487 (34.7%) | |
Prior ischemic event (n = 9485) | Aspirin (n = 6872) | 163 (2.5%) | 334 (5.1%) | 1766 (27.0%) | 4272 (65.4%) | 6372 (92.7%) |
No aspirin (n = 2613) | 999 (41.1%) | 556 (22.9%) | 560 (23.0%) | 317 (13.0%) | 1433 (54.8%) |
Characteristic | Parameter Estimate | Standard Error | Chi-squared | HR | 95% CI | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time varying aspirin use | 0.11 | 0.07 | 2.25 | 1.11 | 0.97-1.28 | 0.13 |
Age | 0.06 | 0.003 | 259.21 | 1.06 | 1.06-1.05 | <.0001 |
Male sex | 0.24 | 0.073 | 11.15 | 1.28 | 1.11-1.48 | .0008 |
BMI | −0.03 | 0.007 | 22.78 | 0.97 | 0.95-0.98 | <.0001 |
SBP | 0.01 | 0.002 | 38.68 | 1.01 | 1.01-1.02 | <.0001 |
Heart rate | 0.03 | 0.004 | 42.79 | 1.03 | 1.02-1.04 | <.0001 |
CHF | 0.56 | 0.119 | 22.36 | 1.76 | 1.39-2.23 | <.0001 |
Smoking | 0.46 | 0.073 | 39.18 | 1.58 | 1.37-1.83 | <.0001 |
Diabetes | 0.51 | 0.072 | 51.50 | 1.67 | 1.45-1.93 | <.0001 |
Hyperlipidemia | −0.15 | 0.070 | 4.97 | 0.85 | 0.74-0.98 | .0257 |
PAD | 0.23 | 0.091 | 6.75 | 1.26 | 1.06-1.51 | .0094 |
CKD | 0.79 | 0.176 | 20.36 | 2.21 | 1.56-3.13 | <.0001 |
Characteristic | Parameter Estimate | Standard Error | Chi-squared | HR | 95% CI | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time varying aspirin use | −0.13 | 0.06 | 4.53 | 0.87 | 0.77-0.99 | .033 |
Age | 0.04 | 0.003 | 181.68 | 1.04 | 1.04-1.05 | <.0001 |
BMI | −0.01 | 0.006 | 9.73 | 0.98 | 0.97-0.99 | .0018 |
SBP | 0.00 | 0.002 | 5.32 | 1.01 | 1.00-1.01 | .0210 |
Heart rate | 0.02 | 0.004 | 34.10 | 1.02 | 1.01-1.03 | <.0001 |
MI | 0.25 | 0.077 | 10.68 | 1.29 | 1.10-1.50 | .0011 |
Stroke/TIA | 0.37 | 0.075 | 23.92 | 1.44 | 1.24-1.68 | <.0001 |
CHF | 0.65 | 0.084 | 59.93 | 1.92 | 1.62-2.26 | <.0001 |
Smoking | 0.31 | 0.062 | 24.37 | 1.36 | 1.20-1.54 | <.0001 |
Diabetes | 0.58 | 0.063 | 85.54 | 1.79 | 1.58-2.02 | <.0001 |
Hyperlipidemia | −0.17 | 0.062 | 8.19 | 0.83 | 0.74-0.94 | .0042 |
PAD | 0.23 | 0.077 | 9.50 | 1.26 | 1.09-1.47 | .0020 |
CKD | 0.38 | 0.126 | 9.13 | 1.46 | 1.14-1.87 | .0025 |
Treatment strategy | −0.16 | 0.062 | 7.39 | 0.84 | 0.74-0.95 | .0065 |
NSAID use | 0.15 | 0.079 | 4.05 | 1.17 | 1.00-1.37 | .0441 |

Outcome | Events (%) | Rate per 1000 Patient-years | HR | 95% CI | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
No prior ischemic event (n = 13,091) | |||||
All-cause death, MI or stroke | 980 (7.5%) | 28.1 | 1.11 | 0.97-1.28 | .13 |
All-cause death, MI, stroke, or bleeding | 1040 (7.9%) | 29.9 | 1.12 | 0.98-1.28 | .10 |
CV death, MI, or stroke | 597 (4.6%) | 17.1 | 1.18 | 0.99-1.43 | .06 |
All-cause mortality | 775 (5.9%) | 22.0 | 0.97 | 0.83-1.14 | .74 |
CV mortality | 382 (2.9%) | 10.9 | 0.97 | 0.77-1.21 | .76 |
Nonfatal MI | 125 (1.0%) | 3.6 | 1.23 | 0.81-1.86 | .34 |
Nonfatal stroke | 102 (0.8%) | 2.9 | 1.86 | 1.22-2.83 | .0039 |
Prior ischemic event (n = 9485) | |||||
All-cause death, MI or stroke | 1289 (13.6%) | 49.3 | 0.87 | 0.77-0.99 | .03 |
All-cause death, MI, stroke, or bleeding | 1377 (14.5%) | 53.0 | 0.88 | 0.78-0.99 | .039 |
CV death, MI, or stroke | 808 (8.5%) | 30.9 | 1.04 | 0.88-1.23 | .65 |
All-cause mortality | 991 (10.5%) | 37.1 | 0.79 | 0.68-0.91 | .0011 |
CV mortality | 480 (5.1%) | 18.0 | 0.96 | 0.78-1.19 | .74 |
Nonfatal MI | 179 (1.9%) | 6.8 | 1.26 | 0.88-1.81 | .21 |
Nonfatal stroke | 177 (1.9%) | 6.7 | 1.05 | 0.75-1.48 | .77 |
Discussion
- Baigent C.
- Blackwell L.
- Collins R.
- et al.
Supplementary webappendix. Supplement to: Aspirin in the primary and secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomised trials.
Limitations
Conclusions
References
- Aspirin use among U.S. adults: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.Am J Prev Med. 2006; 30: 74-77
- AHA/ACCF Secondary Prevention and Risk Reduction Therapy for Patients with Coronary and other Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease: 2011 update: a guideline from the American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology Foundation.Circulation. 2011; 124: 2458-2473
- 2012 ACCF/AHA/ACP/AATS/PCNA/SCAI/STS guideline for the diagnosis and management of patients with stable ischemic heart disease: a report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association task force on practice guidelines, and the American College of Physicians, American Association for Thoracic Surgery, Preventive Cardiovascular Nurses Association, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, and Society of Thoracic Surgeons.Circulation. 2012; 126: e354-e471
- 2013 ESC guidelines on the management of stable coronary artery disease: the Task Force on the management of stable coronary artery disease of the European Society of Cardiology.Eur Heart J. 2013; 34: 2949-3003
- Aspirin: its risks, benefits, and optimal use in preventing cardiovascular events.Cleve Clin J Med. 2013; 80: 318-326
- 2013 ESH/ESC guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension: the Task Force for the management of arterial hypertension of the European Society of Hypertension (ESH) and of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC).J Hypertens. 2013; 31: 1281-1357
- Randomised trial of intravenous streptokinase, oral aspirin, both, or neither among 17,187 cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction: ISIS-2. ISIS-2 (Second International Study of Infarct Survival) Collaborative Group.Lancet. 1988; 2: 349-360
- Swedish Aspirin Low-Dose Trial (SALT) of 75 mg aspirin as secondary prophylaxis after cerebrovascular ischaemic events. The SALT Collaborative Group.Lancet. 1991; 338: 1345-1349
- Antithrombotic Trialists' Collaboration. Collaborative meta-analysis of randomised trials of antiplatelet therapy for prevention of death, myocardial infarction, and stroke in high risk patients.BMJ. 2002; 324: 71-86
- Aspirin in the primary and secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomised trials.Lancet. 2009; 373: 1849-1860
- Low diagnostic yield of elective coronary angiography.N Engl J Med. 2010; 362: 886-895
- Rationale and design of the International Verapamil SR/Trandolapril Study (INVEST): an Internet-based randomized trial in coronary artery disease patients with hypertension.J Am Coll Cardiol. 1998; 32: 1228-1237
- A calcium antagonist vs a non-calcium antagonist hypertension treatment strategy for patients with coronary artery disease. The International Verapamil-Trandolapril Study (INVEST): a randomized controlled trial.JAMA. 2003; 290: 2805-2816
- The sixth report of the Joint National Committee on prevention, detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood pressure.Arch Intern Med. 1997; 157: 2413-2446
- Risk prediction models: I. Development, internal validation, and assessing the incremental value of a new (bio)marker.Heart. 2012; 98: 683-690
- Aspirin and risk of hemorrhagic stroke: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.JAMA. 1998; 280: 1930-1935
- Supplementary webappendix. Supplement to: Aspirin in the primary and secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomised trials.Lancet. 2009; 373 (Available at:) (Accessed January 17, 2014): 1849-1860
- Short-term effects of daily aspirin on cancer incidence, mortality, and non-vascular death: analysis of the time course of risks and benefits in 51 randomised controlled trials.Lancet. 2012; 379: 1602-1612
- Effects of verapamil on platelet aggregation, ATP release and thromboxane generation.Thromb Res. 1983; 30: 469-475
- Clopidogrel and aspirin versus aspirin alone for the prevention of atherothrombotic events.N Engl J Med. 2006; 354: 1706-1717
- Heart disease and stroke statistics—2014 update: a report from the American Heart Association.Circulation. 2014; 129: e28-e292
- Late thrombosis of drug-eluting stents: a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.Am J Med. 2006; 119: 1056-1061
- Double-dose versus standard-dose clopidogrel and high-dose versus low-dose aspirin in individuals undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for acute coronary syndromes (CURRENT-OASIS 7): a randomised factorial trial.Lancet. 2010; 376: 1233-1243
Article info
Publication history
Footnotes
Funding: No funding was obtained for this study. The original INVEST study was funded by a grant from BASF Pharma, Ludwigshafen, Germany; Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, IL, USA, and the University of Florida Research Foundation and Opportunity Fund. BASF Pharma and Abbott Laboratories had no role in the design or conduct of the study, collection or analysis of data, or preparation or approval of the manuscript.
Conflict of Interest: AAB currently receives research support from Novartis Pharmaceuticals, Gilead, and Eli Lilly and serves as a contractor for the American College of Cardiology's CardioSource, and previously served on an advisory board for Gilead and as a contractor for Boehringer Ingelheim. RMC currently receives funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), National Human Genome Research Institute (U01 HG007269); NIH, National Institute of General Medical Sciences (PEAR, 2U01 GM074492); NIH, National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) through a contract with Wake Forest University (WHI, HHSN268201100004C); University of Florida Clinical and Translational Science Institute (UF CTSI, Clinical Research Pilot Award); and Southeast Center for Integrative Metabolomics, UF CTSI (Pilot and Feasibility Project Award). EMH reported receiving grant support from NHLBI, Gilead, and educational grants from AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Amarin, Mesoblast, ISIS Pharmaceuticals, Esperion Therapeutics, Vessex, Genentech, Cytori, Daiichi-Sankyo, Medtronic, Baxter, United Therapeutics, Sanofi/Aventis, Amgen, and Catabasis. CJP reported receiving research grants from Abbott, Actelion Pharmaceuticals, Amarin, Amgen, Amorcyte, Angioblast/Mesoblast, AstraZeneca, Baxter Healthcare, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Capricor, Inc., Catabasis Pharmaceuticals, Cytori, Daiichi Sankyo, Esperion Therapeutics, Genentech, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, InfraReDx Inc., Isis Pharmaceuticals, Lilly, Medtronic, NeoStem Inc., NIH/NHLBI, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi, United Therapeutics Corp; consulting for Lilly/Cleveland Clinic-Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) member for a Phase 2 Efficacy and safety study of Ly2484595, Mesoblast DSMB, Servier, and SLACK Inc. CJP receives support in part from the NIH/NCRR Clinical and Translational Science Award to the University of Florida UL1 TR000064. YG reports that she has no financial disclosures.
Authorship: All authors had access to the data and a substantive role in writing the manuscript. AAB drafted the manuscript, performed research, and analyzed data. All co-authors assisted in writing the manuscript, revised it critically for important intellectual content, and approved the final version of the manuscript and the decision to submit for publication. Additionally, YG analyzed data; RNC designed research and analyzed data; and EMH and CJP designed and performed research.